Politics Prediction Markets

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Yield

JD Vance

21%

Marco Rubio

13%

Gavin Newsom

13%

Jon Ossoff

9%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9%

Kamala Harris

5%

Donald Trump

4%

Zohran Mamdani

3%

Elon Musk

3%

Josh Shapiro

3%

Pete Buttigieg

3%

Pete Hegseth

3%

Eric Trump

—%

James Talarico

—%

Thomas Massie

—%

Ro Khanna

—%

Jamie Dimon

—%

Michelle Obama

—%

Ivanka Trump

—%

Kim Kardashian

—%

Tucker Carlson

—%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

—%

LeBron James

—%

Greg Abbott

—%

Vivek Ramaswamy

—%

Tim Walz

—%

Ron DeSantis

—%

Nikki Haley

—%

Donald Trump Jr.

—%

Tulsi Gabbard

—%

JB Pritzker

—%

Stephen Smith

—%

Glenn Youngkin

—%

Andy Beshear

—%

Gretchen Whitmer

—%

Wes Moore

—%

Rick Scott

—%

John N. Kennedy

—%

Tom Cotton

—%

Doug Burgum

—%

Mike Johnson

—%

Tim Scott

—%

Candace Owens

—%

Alex Padilla

—%

Josh Stein

—%

Adam Schiff

—%

Elissa Slotkin

—%

Hakeem Jeffries

—%

Abigail Spanberger

—%

Jalen Brunson

—%

$218 Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

Gavin Newsom

20%

Jon Ossoff

16%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

15%

Kamala Harris

7%

Josh Shapiro

6%

Pete Buttigieg

6%

Ro Khanna

3%

Jon Stewart

3%

Rahm Emanuel

3%

Mark Kelly

3%

Andy Beshear

3%

Gretchen Whitmer

3%

Alex Padilla

2%

Josh Stein

2%

Adam Schiff

2%

Elissa Slotkin

2%

Hakeem Jeffries

2%

Abigail Spanberger

2%

Graham Platner

2%

James Talarico

2%

Ruben Gallego

2%

Jasmine Crockett

2%

Chris Murphy

2%

Kim Kardashian

2%

Beto O’Rourke

2%

Andrew Yang

2%

Oprah Winfrey

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

MrBeast

2%

Chelsea Clinton

2%

George Clooney

2%

Hunter Biden

2%

LeBron James

2%

Phil Murphy

2%

Bernie Sanders

2%

Liz Cheney

2%

Hillary Clinton

2%

Barack Obama

2%

Jared Polis

2%

John Fetterman

2%

Roy Cooper

2%

Zohran Mamdani

2%

Gina Raimondo

2%

Michelle Obama

2%

Tim Walz

2%

Cory Booker

2%

Raphael Warnock

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Mark Cuban

2%

Stephen A. Smith

2%

$3,563 Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Brazil Presidential Election

Yield

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

62%

Flávio Bolsonaro

24%

Renan Santos

12%

Ronaldo Caiado

3%

Camilo Santana

2%

Romeu Zema

2%

Michelle Bolsonaro

2%

Jair Bolsonaro

2%

Eduardo Bolsonaro

1%

Fernando Haddad

1%

Tarcisio de Freitas

1%

Ratinho Júnior

—%

$67,442 Vol

Oct 26 @ 6:00AM

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Yield

0 (0 bps)

83%

1 (25 bps)

10%

2 (50 bps)

4%

3 (75 bps)

1%

4 (100 bps)

1%

5 (125 bps)

1%

6 (150 bps)

2%

7 (175 bps)

1%

8 (200 bps)

1%

9 (225 bps)

1%

10 (250 bps)

1%

11 (275 bps)

1%

12+ (300+ bps)

1%

$9.2M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Yield

Democratic Party

45%

Republican Party

56%

$268K Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Yield

J.D. Vance

43%

Marco Rubio

29%

Tucker Carlson

3%

Ron DeSantis

3%

Donald Trump

3%

Rick Scott

2%

John N. Kennedy

2%

Tom Cotton

2%

Doug Burgum

2%

Mike Johnson

2%

Tim Scott

2%

Candace Owens

2%

Pete Hegseth

2%

Joe Kent

2%

Eric Trump

2%

Thomas Massie

2%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

2%

Kim Kardashian

2%

Erika Kirk

2%

Steve Bannon

2%

Rand Paul

2%

Tom Brady

2%

Ivanka Trump

2%

Mike Pence

2%

Kristi Noem

2%

John Thune

2%

Katie Britt

2%

Matt Gaetz

2%

Elon Musk

2%

Ted Cruz

2%

Josh Hawley

2%

Elise Stefanik

2%

Byron Donalds

2%

Brian Kemp

2%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

2%

Greg Abbott

2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Nikki Haley

2%

Donald Trump Jr.

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Tulsi Gabbard

2%

$40 Vol

Nov 7, 2028 @ 12:00AM

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yield

Yulia Navalnaya

11%

UNRWA

9%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

8%

Pope Leo XIV

5%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

3%

Donald Trump

3%

Narendra Modi

2%

Mohammed bin Salman

2%

Charlie Kirk

2%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

2%

Xi Jinping

2%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

2%

Khaled Mashal

2%

António Guterres

2%

International Court of Justice

2%

Elon Musk

2%

Greta Thunberg

2%

Julian Assange

2%

Benjamin Netanyahu

1%

Vladimir Putin

1%

$2,939 Vol

Oct 10 @ 12:00AM

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Yield

Democrats Sweep

43%

D Senate, R House

2%

R Senate, D House

39%

Republicans Sweep

14%

Other

1%

$9.2M Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Next French Presidential Election

Yield

Marine Le Pen

31%

Édouard Philippe

27%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

13%

François Hollande

3%

Bruno Retailleau

3%

Gabriel Attal

3%

Jordan Bardella

3%

Sébastien Lecornu

2%

Sarah Knafo

2%

Bernard Cazeneuve

2%

Dominique de Villepin

2%

Raphaël Glucksmann

2%

David Lisnard

2%

Éric Zemmour

2%

Marion Maréchal

1%

François Baroin

1%

Yannick Jadot

1%

Lucie Castets

1%

Karim Bouamrane

1%

Clémence Guetté

1%

Juan Branco

1%

Mathilde Panot

1%

Manuel Bompard

1%

Carole Delga

1%

Gérald Darmanin

1%

Jean Castex

1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

1%

Élisabeth Borne

1%

François Bayrou

1%

Valérie Pécresse

1%

Michel Barnier

1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

1%

Clémentine Autain

1%

François Asselineau

1%

Ségolène Royal

1%

Olivier Faure

1%

Fabien Roussel

1%

Marine Tondelier

1%

François Ruffin

1%

Laurent Wauquiez

1%

Xavier Bertrand

1%

$6.47 Vol

Apr 30, 2027 @ 12:00AM

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Yield

4%

96%

$349K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Yield

6%

94%

$3.5M Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Yield

Nicolás Maduro

83%

Delcy Rodríguez

10%

María Corina Machado

3%

No Head of State

2%

Jorge Rodríguez

2%

Diosdado Cabello Rondón

2%

Edmundo González

2%

Frank Donovan

1%

Evan Pettus

1%

Pete Hegseth

1%

Marco Rubio

1%

Vladimir Padrino López

1%

Donald Trump

1%

Dinorah Figuera

1%

Richard Grenell

—%

Dan Caine

—%

$5.31 Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

California Governor Election Winner

Yield

Xavier Becerra

93%

Steve Hilton

7%

Chad Bianco

1%

Elaine Culotti

—%

Matt Mahan

—%

Kamala Harris

—%

Tom Steyer

—%

Eric Swalwell

—%

Nicole Shanahan

—%

Leo Zacky

—%

Michael Younger

—%

Tony Thurmond

—%

Daniel Mercuri

—%

Eleni Kounalakis

—%

Kyle Langford

—%

Toni Atkins

—%

Betty Yee

—%

Butch Ware

—%

Stephen Cloobeck

—%

Antonio Villaraigosa

—%

Katie Porter

—%

Alex Padilla

—%

Rick Caruso

—%

$465 Vol

Nov 3 @ 12:00AM

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yield

6%

94%

$232K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yield

43%

57%

$424K Vol

Dec 31 @ 12:00AM

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Yield

4%

96%

$137K Vol

Jan 1, 2027 @ 5:00AM